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Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Market Commentary

Updated on October 19, 2020 10:07:55 AM EDT

There is nothing of relevance set for release today. The rest of the week brings us four monthly economic reports that we will be watching in addition to a Treasury auction that has the potential to move rates also. Besides the economic data, corporate earnings news may also come into play this week.

Septembers Housing Starts is the first, set for release at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow. This Commerce Department report will probably not have a heavy impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. It gives us a measurement of housing sector strength and future mortgage credit demand by tracking construction starts of new homes but is usually considered to be of low importance to the financial and mortgage markets. It is expected to show an increase in new home starts between August and September, pointing to strength in the housing sector. We need to see a significant surprise in this data for it to have a noticeable influence on mortgage rates.

Overall, no day stands out as a clear choice for most important of the week. Thursday is a possibility with two monthly releases and the weekly unemployment update all scheduled, but Wednesday afternoon could see some movement also. Friday is a decent candidate for calmest day for rates. Corporate earnings postings could affect the markets and mortgage rates any day this week. Despite the lack of any key economic data being posted, there still are plenty of events scheduled, meaning we could still see multiple days with a noticeable change in mortgage pricing.

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